Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2026-01-04 7.941931 9.298564 10.785359 12.531497 14.521584 16.714466 19.309005
2026-01-11 5.645811 7.464070 9.670189 12.523085 16.091475 20.382332 25.904557
2026-01-18 4.322962 6.305080 8.913108 12.548369 17.428675 23.691128 32.260887
2026-01-25 3.343402 5.314461 8.096316 12.228650 18.113032 26.076664 37.527453
2026-02-01 2.650096 4.554251 7.416078 11.912646 18.651792 28.197162 42.508713
2026-02-08 2.088183 3.865880 6.700986 11.394198 18.765739 29.646128 46.581860
2026-02-15 1.685507 3.347489 6.149110 11.015275 18.991367 31.208326 50.869097
2026-02-22 1.486412 3.137668 6.057058 11.339029 20.312096 34.485775 57.930822
2026-03-01 1.322936 2.959236 5.985058 11.671877 21.657016 37.879733 65.391985
2026-03-08 1.094411 2.608440 5.547950 11.302747 21.767957 39.282391 69.770392
2026-03-15 0.920749 2.333157 5.206161 11.052132 22.038038 40.937030 74.635947
2026-03-22 0.850073 2.265601 5.256700 11.536100 23.651464 44.955310 83.672318
2026-03-29 0.755475 2.136811 5.188379 11.830447 25.038624 48.851203 93.070596
2026-04-05 0.649141 1.959115 4.995513 11.864965 25.969682 52.074943 101.656315
2026-04-12 0.559107 1.799791 4.814862 11.897575 26.896135 55.361917 110.597580
2026-04-19 0.463270 1.598684 4.500758 11.594162 27.108100 57.329468 117.281857
2026-04-26 0.384154 1.421462 4.208945 11.292969 27.280140 59.216131 123.926215
2026-05-03 0.310005 1.235677 3.857995 10.798441 26.977042 60.138310 128.795897
2026-05-10 0.254314 1.090135 3.581762 10.437045 26.914158 61.513587 134.605290
2026-05-17 0.230703 1.046591 3.576357 10.745832 28.382734 66.097695 146.981536
2026-05-24 0.209941 1.006974 3.574787 11.063343 29.899967 70.886044 160.053824
2026-05-31 0.173246 0.893716 3.332728 10.711225 29.803826 72.268562 166.333608
2026-06-07 0.145234 0.804179 3.143661 10.472199 29.948674 74.167396 173.778422